Tuesday, March 30, 2010

TraderSmarts Numbers for the YM Emini Futures - Wednesday March 31, 2010

Support becomes resistance and vice versa…

10838, 10869, 10885, 10927 Resistance on the YM Emini Futures

10775, 10689, 10633 10571 Supports

Trade smart and trade well!

End of month and end of quarter trading – pay attention.

EIA Petroleum at 7:30 PST

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CL: Every test of the upper end of my 79.7-82.7 range has been met by hard selling. I have been trading around a swing short position in my range to better c/b for nearly five weeks now. I'm Still expecting a CIT from this range. IF CL can close over the close of March 17, 2010 then a move up to 87.5 is possible. Big picture I still expect an eventual 57.50 test in CL.

Someone asked me how can I go from expecting a CIT in my range to now saying I'm prepared for a move up to 87.50. We have been in this range for five weeks - first hitting the lower end of it on 2/19/2010. It wasn't until the Update for March 18th that I first mentioned 87.50. If you look at the chart - on March 17th we had the highest close of the entire 4 weeks AND closed OVER the top of my range for the first time in those five weeks. And this followed a sharp reversal down and then up - indicating strength. Now we have sold off again. Anyway the strength of the reversal and the close over the high of the range for the first time I had to look for targets above if we broke up, instead of down as I am expecting. 87.50 is the logical target if it can break up out of this 79.7 - 82.7 range I have had for over a month. I am expecting a move back down to 76 minimum but time will tell and markets are not static. We must be prepared for everything.

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