Wednesday, April 3, 2013

TS TradePlan for the YM Emini Futures - Thursday April 4, 2013

TraderSmarts Numbers for YM (M)
15311, 15243, 15155, 14842, 14774, 14683, 14664, 14648, 14630, 14621, 14618, 14599, 14594, 14585, 14576, 14542, 14530, 14517, 14500, 14478, 14462, 14454, 14439, 14412, 14403, 14385, 14376, 14356, 14343, 14318, 14305, 14286, 14263, 14234, 14154, 14144, 14114, 14048, 14017, 13996, 13980, 13957, 13946, 13899, 13879, 13868, 13822, 13803, 13740, 13456, 13322 Support / Resistance on the YM Emini Futures

YM Contract Notes: What still makes sense to me is a trip up to 14530 / 14618 - 14621 followed by a test of some support below at 14154 - 14144.  I plan to remain nimble and focus on TS #'s and Execution/Target Zones. <<< We have tested into 14530 - 14521 TS # Zone - odds of a cleansing down soon are high. << Now 8 ticks from 14618 TS # on Tuesday. Above remains the same about cleansing. 

Got the test into above and almost to 618 now do we get test down to supports? 14621 - 14618 important. NFP Friday. 

Macro Technical View:  New all time highs for the Dow.  One thing that can be clear is it is likely not going to be a V Top. 14048 TS # is macro line in the sand. News gap last Sunday. Headline risk in play. 

Since the end of 2012 it has been in the Contract Notes that over and holding 13245 and we likely get new all time highs in the Dow. Multiple big extended up targets have been hit since 1/8/2013 when TS TradePlan first called for swing longs: 13523, 13836 and 13992, 14148, 14338. The only TS # that has been tested from above after breaking over was 13836 on 2/21/13 and again on 2/25/13. A correction was attempted after the .19 TRIN tick on 2/15/2013 but since March 1 short squeeze has been in effect. 

Also of note that no major crash has taken place without first making new all time highs. <<< we now have the new all time dow highs. 13133 and 15218 on DOW Cash are two macro areas of interest. 

YM Execution/Targets Zones:
14664 - 14648  Extreme Short 
14585 - 14576 Highest Odds Short FTU
14542 Range Short
14412 - 14385 Range Long 
14286 Highest Odds Long FTD
14234 Extreme Long 

Support becomes resistance and vice versa...

Trade smart and trade well!

TS TradePlan for ES YM 6E GC CL + TS Trades (Live Trade Alerts / Market Commentary / Private Twitter Feed): www.tradersmarts.net

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