TRADERSMARTS: January 2016

Friday, January 29, 2016

The E-mini Dow Up 400 + Ticks on Friday into Big Target Up

Big target was up in YM

Thursday January 28, 2016 YM E-mini Dow TS TradePlan Chart

The move up into target Thursday - Friday

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

Thursday, January 28, 2016

300 + TICKS of MFE vs.1 TICK of MAE on FOMC Day

CL TS TradePlan Oil Chart Review: Wednesday Jan 27, 2016 FOMC day

CL TS TradePlan Oil Chart Review: Wednesday Jan 27, 2016 FOMC day - Thursday January 28, 2016

300 + ticks of MFE vs 1 tick of MAE ..

From 31.45 MTS # just after FOMC announcement to 34.41 TS # at the start of Wednesday's Extreme Short / Thursday's Highest Odds Short FTU.

From Wednesday FOMC day at 11:30 AM PST Pit close.

How we ended the day Thursday.

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

Saturday, January 23, 2016

This Week's Low in Oil

CL TS TradePlan Oil Chart Review: Sunday Jan 17, 2016 Globex Open - Friday January 22, 2016 U.S. cash close.

First the major expectation from early this week:

This Week's TS TradePlan Oil Charts

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

Thursday, January 21, 2016

One Key Benefit of the Private Client Feed

One benefit of the private client feed is updates in real-time. Case in point below ..

YM is Up + 200 ticks from Friday's Range Long with not much heat.

Prior day's YM charts here

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

YM TS TradePlan E-mini Dow Review - Thursday January 21, 2016

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

YM CL 6E GC - Sunday Jan 17, 2016 Globex Open - Tuesday Jan 19, 2016

YM TS TradePlan E-mini Dow Review - Sunday Jan 17, 2016 Globex Open - Tuesday Jan 19, 2016

CL TS TradePlan Oil Chart Review - Sunday Jan 17, 2016 Globex Open - Tuesday Jan 19, 2016

6E TS TradePlan Euro Chart Review - Sunday Jan 17, 2016 Globex Open - Tuesday Jan 19, 2016

GC TS TradePlan Gold Chart Review - Sunday Jan 17, 2016 Globex Open - Tuesday Jan 19, 2016

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

Sunday, January 10, 2016

By (my) definition a Texas hedge is the exact opposite of a hedge. It is when you use two or more instruments that you expect to move in sympathy with each other to increase risk and maximize return as opposed to using two or more instruments to hedge risk (and thus minimize return).

The first thing I noticed early Friday was 6E likely wanted to go up and test 1.0995 - 1.0978 TS # Zone.

If you have been paying attention 6E and U.S. equity have been moving conversely of late, in general if 6E is moving up ES is moving down (and vice versa).

That set up our Texas Hedge.

With a clear initial YM target at Thursday's 16410 KEY TS #

6E TS TradePlan Euro Chart Review - Friday January 8, 2015

We could tell from early in the day that 16410 TS # was going to be key for the YM. (1933.25 in the ES).

At 10:40 AM PST (just under 2.5 hours before U.S. cash close) I posted on StockTwits/Twitter the question: "Friday stick save or sell into close?" (must read below from bottom up). We thought 6E target up / 16410 YM/ 1933.25 ES break lower and likely sell into close.

We know how the week ended ..

YM TS TradePlan E-mini Dow Chart Review - Friday January 8, 2015

ES TS TradePlan E-mini S&P-500 Chart Review - Friday January 8, 2015

We blew out 6E long and YM short and went home flat!

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

Thursday, January 7, 2016

Do You Trade The European Session?

YM TS TradePlan E-mini Dow Review - Thursday January 7, 2015

Today we had another originating move keyed to London open.

How we traded it in the Private Client Feed:

E-mini Dow at U.S. Cash session close Thursday January 7, 2015.
Note: We closed at Thursday's Extreme Long. This is an important OTF decision point heading into Friday's session.

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

Oil Range Long

CL TS TradePlan Oil Chart Review - Thursday January 7, 2015

Oil with support so far this session at Range Long. Will update this post as the session progresses.

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

Wednesday, January 6, 2016

ES TS TradePlan E-mini S&P-500 Chart Review - Tuesday January 5, 2015

European session (pre U.S. cash session). Clients get the plan ahead of London open — usually at least 9 hours before U.S. cash session opens.

U.S. Session (+ previous European Session)

Charts shown with the TS TradePlan Indicator for NinjaTrader

Precise Trading Plans and Trade Alerts for the:

E-mini S&P-500 (ES), E-mini Dow (YM), E-mini NASDAQ 100, Euro (6E), Oil (CL) and Gold (GC

Sunday, January 3, 2016

Last trade of 2015 / First trade of 2016

YM TS TradePlan E-mini Dow Review - Thurs Dec 31, 2015

We shorted YM for our last trade of the year. We almost didn't get this off as I was distracted and wanted to leave early to take the kids ice skating.

This is the close up of the stalk and short in the private client feed.

We closed 1 unit and left 1 open (with a + 160 MFE cushion) into 2016 and are looking for a test of 17255 - 17225 TS # Zone from above on Sunday Globex open - Monday AM.